weather · Trading

Seattle low 48-49°F on Nov 13

Will the official low temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Seattle) on November 13, 2026 be between 48 and 49 °F, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?

27%chance0 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 11 hours

20%30%40%2:42 AM8:00 AM1:18 PM
Chance moved from 27% to 27% over this range (low 25%, high 27%).

Order book

Syncing…
Bids to buy YES
BidContracts
No bids
Offers to sell YES
AskContracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

Reconnecting…
Taker boughtYes priceContracts
No trades yet.

Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of Daily minimum temperature, Seattle-Tacoma Airport (NWS daily climate report CLISEA), for the day 2026-11-13, as first published by the source, is between 48 and 49 (inclusive), °F. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-18T00:00:00Z.

Source: NWS series CLI/SEA/MIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is a138e4004f8e3579… , recorded at log entry 1,412 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

  1. Trading opens (done)Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
  2. Trading closes (next)Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
  3. Value published by NWSNov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
  4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
  5. Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":"between","threshold":"48","transform":"level","upper":"49"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"48-49°F","series":"seattle-daily-low","slug":"seattle-low-2026-11-13","tags":["daily","seattle","temperature"],"title":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on Nov 13?"},"market":10316263,"observation":"2026-11-13","question":"Will the official low temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Seattle) on November 13, 2026 be between 48 and 49 °F, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-18T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-11T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-14T15:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"nws","series":"CLI/SEA/MIN","url":"https://api.weather.gov/products/types/CLI/locations/SEA"},"title":"Seattle low 48-49°F on Nov 13","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.