Washington, DC low 49°F or above on Nov 13
Will the official low temperature at Reagan National Airport (Washington, DC) on November 13, 2026 be 49 °F or higher, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?
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Order book
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Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.
Recent trades
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Market rules
Pinned in the exchange logResolves YES if the value of Daily minimum temperature, Washington National (NWS daily climate report CLIDCA), for the day 2026-11-13, as first published by the source, is at or above 49 °F. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-18T00:00:00Z.
Source: NWS series CLI/DCA/MIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 24f9766028cdf771… , recorded at log entry 1,474 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.
Timeline and payout
- Trading opens (done)Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Trading closes (next)Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Value published by NWSNov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
- Outcome proposed and confirmed—
- Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":">=","threshold":"49","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"49°F or above","series":"washington-dc-daily-low","slug":"washington-dc-low-2026-11-13","tags":["daily","temperature","washington-dc"],"title":"Lowest temperature in Washington, DC on Nov 13?"},"market":10316306,"observation":"2026-11-13","question":"Will the official low temperature at Reagan National Airport (Washington, DC) on November 13, 2026 be 49 °F or higher, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-18T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-11T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-14T15:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"nws","series":"CLI/DCA/MIN","url":"https://api.weather.gov/products/types/CLI/locations/DCA"},"title":"Washington, DC low 49°F or above on Nov 13","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}Resolution and evidence
No outcome yet. After Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.