Geomagnetic activity on Nov 13: No storm

Resolves YES if the value of Daily maximum planetary K-index, by UTC day (NOAA SWPC estimated 3-hour values), for the day 2026-11-13, as first published by the source, is below 4.67 Kp. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-19T00:00:00Z.

Source: SWPC series KP/MAX. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 669d31358cf2517f… , recorded at log entry 165 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

1. Trading opens (done)Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
2. Trading closes (next)Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
3. Value published by SWPCNov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
5. Dispute window ends, payout—

{"condition":{"op":"<","threshold":"4.67","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"No storm","series":"geomagnetic-daily","slug":"geomagnetic-storm-2026-11-13","tags":["daily","space-weather"],"title":"Geomagnetic storm level on Nov 13?"},"market":10316600,"observation":"2026-11-13","question":"Will the highest planetary K-index on November 13, 2026 (UTC) reach below storm level (Kp under 5-), from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's estimated 3-hour values?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-19T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-11T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-14T03:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"swpc","series":"KP/MAX","url":"https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index"},"title":"Geomagnetic activity on Nov 13: No storm","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.