weather · Trading

Los Angeles high 69-70°F on Nov 14

Will the official high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (Los Angeles) on November 14, 2026 be between 69 and 70 °F, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?

27%chance0 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 1 day

Chance moved from 27% to 27% over this range (low 27%, high 27%).

Order book

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Bids to buy YES
Bid	Contracts
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Offers to sell YES
Ask	Contracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

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Taker bought	Yes price	Contracts
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Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of Daily maximum temperature, Los Angeles International Airport (NWS daily climate report CLILAX), for the day 2026-11-14, as first published by the source, is between 69 and 70 (inclusive), °F. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-19T00:00:00Z.

Source: NWS series CLI/LAX. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 25ff8c779b553fac… , recorded at log entry 208 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

Trading opens (done)Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Trading closes (next)Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Value published by NWSNov 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Outcome proposed and confirmed—
Dispute window ends, payout—

Full rulebook (canonical JSON)

{"condition":{"op":"between","threshold":"69","transform":"level","upper":"70"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"69-70°F","series":"los-angeles-daily-high","slug":"los-angeles-high-2026-11-14","tags":["daily","los-angeles","temperature"],"title":"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Nov 14?"},"market":10317033,"observation":"2026-11-14","question":"Will the official high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (Los Angeles) on November 14, 2026 be between 69 and 70 °F, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-19T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-12T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"nws","series":"CLI/LAX","url":"https://api.weather.gov/products/types/CLI/locations/LAX"},"title":"Los Angeles high 69-70°F on Nov 14","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.