Los Angeles low 53°F or below on Nov 14
Will the official low temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (Los Angeles) on November 14, 2026 be 53 °F or lower, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?
0 contracts traded · trading closes in 2 days
Order book
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Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.
Recent trades
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Market rules
Pinned in the exchange logResolves YES if the value of Daily minimum temperature, Los Angeles International Airport (NWS daily climate report CLILAX), for the day 2026-11-14, as first published by the source, is at or below 53 °F. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-19T00:00:00Z.
Source: NWS series CLI/LAX/MIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 35ac8e9a03512a6b… , recorded at log entry 1,545 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.
Timeline and payout
- Trading opens (done)Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Trading closes (next)Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Value published by NWSNov 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
- Outcome proposed and confirmed—
- Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":"<=","threshold":"53","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"53°F or below","series":"los-angeles-daily-low","slug":"los-angeles-low-2026-11-14","tags":["daily","los-angeles","temperature"],"title":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Nov 14?"},"market":10317230,"observation":"2026-11-14","question":"Will the official low temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (Los Angeles) on November 14, 2026 be 53 °F or lower, as reported in the National Weather Service's daily climate report?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-19T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-12T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"nws","series":"CLI/LAX/MIN","url":"https://api.weather.gov/products/types/CLI/locations/LAX"},"title":"Los Angeles low 53°F or below on Nov 14","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}Resolution and evidence
No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.