7 or more magnitude 5+ earthquakes on Nov 14

Resolves YES if the value of Earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 or more worldwide, by UTC day (USGS ComCat), for the day 2026-11-14, as first published by the source, is at or above 7 earthquakes. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-12-04T00:00:00Z.

Source: USGS series WORLD/M5. The rulebook's SHA-256 is d493f5e4fe45d074… , recorded at log entry 313 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

1. Trading opens (done)Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
2. Trading closes (next)Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
3. Value published by USGSNov 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
5. Dispute window ends, payout—

{"condition":{"op":">=","threshold":"7","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"7 or more","series":"earthquakes-m5-daily","slug":"earthquakes-m5-2026-11-14","tags":["daily","earthquakes"],"title":"How many magnitude 5+ earthquakes on Nov 14?"},"market":10317503,"observation":"2026-11-14","question":"Will there be 7 or more earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 or more worldwide on November 14, 2026 (UTC), as listed in the USGS earthquake catalog?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-12-04T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-12T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-16T00:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"usgs","series":"WORLD/M5","url":"https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/"},"title":"7 or more magnitude 5+ earthquakes on Nov 14","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.