Geomagnetic activity on Nov 14: G1 minor

Resolves YES if the value of Daily maximum planetary K-index, by UTC day (NOAA SWPC estimated 3-hour values), for the day 2026-11-14, as first published by the source, is between 4.67 and 5.66 (inclusive), Kp. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-20T00:00:00Z.

Source: SWPC series KP/MAX. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 3ad1215b43d7aab3… , recorded at log entry 316 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

1. Trading opens (done)Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
2. Trading closes (next)Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
3. Value published by SWPCNov 15, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
5. Dispute window ends, payout—

{"condition":{"op":"between","threshold":"4.67","transform":"level","upper":"5.66"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"G1 minor","series":"geomagnetic-daily","slug":"geomagnetic-storm-2026-11-14","tags":["daily","space-weather"],"title":"Geomagnetic storm level on Nov 14?"},"market":10317601,"observation":"2026-11-14","question":"Will the highest planetary K-index on November 14, 2026 (UTC) reach a G1 minor storm (Kp 5- to 5+), from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's estimated 3-hour values?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-20T00:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-12T00:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T03:00:00Z"},"schema":2,"source":{"provider":"swpc","series":"KP/MAX","url":"https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index"},"title":"Geomagnetic activity on Nov 14: G1 minor","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.