CPI inflation 4.1-4.2% for November 2026

Resolves YES if the 12-month percent change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, rounded to 1 decimal place, for the month 2026-11, as first published by the source, is between 4.1 and 4.2 (inclusive), percent. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2027-02-08T13:30:00Z, or if the source discontinues or redefines the series before publishing it.

Source: BLS series CUUR0000SA0. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 33085cdde8379f14… , recorded at log entry 957 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

1. Trading opens (done)Nov 10, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
2. Trading closes (next)Dec 10, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
3. Value published by BLSDec 10, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
5. Dispute window ends, payout—

{"condition":{"op":"between","threshold":"4.1","transform":"pct_change_12m","upper":"4.2"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"4.1-4.2%","series":"us-cpi","slug":"cpi-2026-11","tags":["economy","inflation"],"title":"CPI inflation for November 2026?"},"market":10343703,"observation":"2026-11","question":"Will the 12-month change in CPI-U (not seasonally adjusted) for November 2026 be 4.1-4.2%, as the BLS first publishes it?","review":"automatic","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-12-10T13:00:00Z","deadline":"2027-02-08T13:30:00Z","open":"2026-11-10T13:30:00Z","release":"2026-12-10T13:30:00Z"},"schema":3,"source":{"provider":"bls","series":"CUUR0000SA0","url":"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0"},"title":"CPI inflation 4.1-4.2% for November 2026","void":["no_value_by_deadline","source_discontinued"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Dec 10, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.