sports · Trading

Cavaliers at Heat, Nov 14: Cavaliers win

Will Cleveland Cavaliers beat Miami Heat on November 14, 2026, including overtime?

45%chanceup 2 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 1 day

30%40%50%1:27 AM7:31 AM1:36 PM
Chance moved from 43% to 45% over this range (low 43%, high 45%).

Order book

Syncing…
Bids to buy YES
BidContracts
No bids
Offers to sell YES
AskContracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

Reconnecting…
Taker boughtYes priceContracts
No trades yet.

Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of NBA game final margin: home points minus away points, including overtime, for the day 2026-11-14, as first published by the source, is below 0 points. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-21T05:00:00Z.

Source: BALLDONTLIE series NBA/MARGIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is c8c4832a2da9798e… , recorded at log entry 768 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

  1. Trading opens (done)Nov 11, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
  2. Trading closes (next)Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
  3. Value published by BALLDONTLIENov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
  4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
  5. Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":"<","threshold":"0","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"Cavaliers","series":"nba-games","slug":"nba-cle-mia-2026-11-14","tags":["basketball","nba"],"title":"Cavaliers at Heat, Nov 14"},"market":117180971,"observation":"2026-11-14","question":"Will Cleveland Cavaliers beat Miami Heat on November 14, 2026, including overtime?","review":"manual","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-14T01:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-21T05:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-11T01:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z"},"schema":3,"source":{"game":{"id":"21718097","starts":"2026-11-14T01:00:00Z"},"provider":"balldontlie","series":"NBA/MARGIN","url":"https://www.balldontlie.io/"},"title":"Cavaliers at Heat, Nov 14: Cavaliers win","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.