sports · Trading

Patriots at Lions, Nov 15: Lions win

Will Detroit Lions beat New England Patriots on November 15, 2026, including overtime?

59%chance0 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 3 days

50%60%70%6:46 AM10:40 AM2:35 PM
Chance moved from 59% to 59% over this range (low 59%, high 59%).

Order book

Syncing…
Bids to buy YES
BidContracts
No bids
Offers to sell YES
AskContracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

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Taker boughtYes priceContracts
No trades yet.

Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of NFL game final margin: home points minus away points, including overtime, for the day 2026-11-15, as first published by the source, is above 0 points. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-22T19:30:00Z.

Source: BALLDONTLIE series NFL/MARGIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is c9a02779a1196b44… , recorded at log entry 2,110 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

  1. Trading opens (done)Nov 10, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
  2. Trading closes (next)Nov 15, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
  3. Value published by BALLDONTLIENov 15, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC
  4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
  5. Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":">","threshold":"0","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"Lions","series":"nfl-games","slug":"nfl-ne-det-2026-11-15","tags":["football","nfl"],"title":"Patriots at Lions, Nov 15"},"market":213923530,"observation":"2026-11-15","question":"Will Detroit Lions beat New England Patriots on November 15, 2026, including overtime?","review":"manual","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-15T14:30:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-22T19:30:00Z","open":"2026-11-10T14:30:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T19:30:00Z"},"schema":3,"source":{"game":{"id":"1392353","starts":"2026-11-15T14:30:00Z"},"provider":"balldontlie","series":"NFL/MARGIN","url":"https://www.balldontlie.io/"},"title":"Patriots at Lions, Nov 15: Lions win","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.