sports · Trading

Dolphins at Colts, Nov 15: Colts win

Will Indianapolis Colts beat Miami Dolphins on November 15, 2026, including overtime?

59%chance0 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 3 days

50%60%70%6:46 AM10:16 AM1:47 PM
Chance moved from 59% to 59% over this range (low 59%, high 59%).

Order book

Syncing…
Bids to buy YES
BidContracts
No bids
Offers to sell YES
AskContracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

Reconnecting…
Taker boughtYes priceContracts
No trades yet.

Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of NFL game final margin: home points minus away points, including overtime, for the day 2026-11-15, as first published by the source, is above 0 points. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-22T23:00:00Z.

Source: BALLDONTLIE series NFL/MARGIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is d8a987cd686474ef… , recorded at log entry 2,120 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

  1. Trading opens (done)Nov 10, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
  2. Trading closes (next)Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
  3. Value published by BALLDONTLIENov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
  4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
  5. Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":">","threshold":"0","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"Colts","series":"nfl-games","slug":"nfl-mia-ind-2026-11-15","tags":["football","nfl"],"title":"Dolphins at Colts, Nov 15"},"market":213923580,"observation":"2026-11-15","question":"Will Indianapolis Colts beat Miami Dolphins on November 15, 2026, including overtime?","review":"manual","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-15T18:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-22T23:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-10T18:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T23:00:00Z"},"schema":3,"source":{"game":{"id":"1392358","starts":"2026-11-15T18:00:00Z"},"provider":"balldontlie","series":"NFL/MARGIN","url":"https://www.balldontlie.io/"},"title":"Dolphins at Colts, Nov 15: Colts win","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.