sports · Trading

Bills at Jets, Nov 15: Bills win

Will Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets on November 15, 2026, including overtime?

72%chance0 today

0 contracts traded · trading closes in 3 days

60%70%80%6:46 AM10:00 AM1:14 PM
Chance moved from 72% to 72% over this range (low 72%, high 72%).

Order book

Syncing…
Bids to buy YES
BidContracts
No bids
Offers to sell YES
AskContracts
No offers

Buying NO at q¢ is the same order as selling YES at (100 − q)¢, so one book serves both sides.

Recent trades

Reconnecting…
Taker boughtYes priceContracts
No trades yet.

Market rules

Pinned in the exchange log

Resolves YES if the value of NFL game final margin: home points minus away points, including overtime, for the day 2026-11-15, as first published by the source, is below 0 points. Resolves NO if it is published and is not. Voided if no value is published by 2026-11-22T23:00:00Z.

Source: BALLDONTLIE series NFL/MARGIN. The rulebook's SHA-256 is 4480084b29b01f53… , recorded at log entry 2,125 when the market was listed; changing a single character of the rules would change it.

Timeline and payout

  1. Trading opens (done)Nov 10, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
  2. Trading closes (next)Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
  3. Value published by BALLDONTLIENov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
  4. Outcome proposed and confirmed—
  5. Dispute window ends, payout—
Full rulebook (canonical JSON)
{"condition":{"op":"<","threshold":"0","transform":"level"},"event":{"exclusive":true,"outcome":"Bills","series":"nfl-games","slug":"nfl-buf-nyj-2026-11-15","tags":["football","nfl"],"title":"Bills at Jets, Nov 15"},"market":213923601,"observation":"2026-11-15","question":"Will Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets on November 15, 2026, including overtime?","review":"manual","revision":"first_release","schedule":{"close":"2026-11-15T18:00:00Z","deadline":"2026-11-22T23:00:00Z","open":"2026-11-10T18:00:00Z","release":"2026-11-15T23:00:00Z"},"schema":3,"source":{"game":{"id":"1392360","starts":"2026-11-15T18:00:00Z"},"provider":"balldontlie","series":"NFL/MARGIN","url":"https://www.balldontlie.io/"},"title":"Bills at Jets, Nov 15: Bills win","void":["no_value_by_deadline"]}

Resolution and evidence

No outcome yet. After Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC the resolver fetches the value from the source, stores the response, and proposes an outcome; a second admin must confirm it, and holders then have 24 hours to dispute.